Steve
Mostly Harmless
Just do a quick search. The statistics are easy to find. Statistically, your chances of being mugged are exceedingly small.Sorry Bill. I still won't take that chance. I don't trust anyone that would put a gun in my face. Can you provide statistics to support the statement you made?
I'm looking at crime stats for the entire metropolitan area of seattle, found on the FBI.gov website, for 2013. Discounting any consideration of high risk behaviors, and just going off of raw stats, it looks like there is a violent crime rate (murder/nonnegligent manslaughter, rape, robbery and aggravated assault) of 323.5 per 100,000 people. Even were I to engage in high risk behavior, say I am a homeless, mentally ill, self medicating drug addict, my chances of being murdered are 2.2 out of 100,000 (or 2.2/1000th of a percent). My chances of being robbed are 112 per 100,000 (1/10th of a percent).
So, of the 323.5 per 100,000 people who are victims of violent crimes of any sort, 1 in 3 are robbed. For evere 112 people who are robbed per 100,000, 2.2 are murdered.
Not related to this site, but I have read elsewhere that often, murders are not random, which would suggest that your chances of being murdered in a robbery are even lower.
The real numbers are even better, as opposed to numbers per 100k population. There were a total of 78 murder/nonnegligent manslaughters in total for Seattle, Tacoma, Bellevue, Everett, Kent, Renton, Auburn, Lakewood and Redmond. I live in Kent/Covington, where there were a total of 2. I don't believe it's a stretch to assume that most of these 78 murders were people who were involved in things they shouldn't have been or engaging in high risk behaviors. Gangs, drugs. Some were good guys doing their jobs, cops or other people in a related field.
Last edited: