Personally, thinking that you have what you need to succeed is a limiting mindset. I would think even a very skilled BJJ'er or wrestler would realize that they need to develop additional skills to succeed. The traditional MAists in MMA who are successful all embrace this simple truth.
Agreed.
This is something you and I have talked about at length in the past. I don't think you can develop aiki principles at all without applying skills. AND, I think if you want to experience aiki, you should roll with an elite grappler. They develop what you're talking about, but it comes with hard work, and doing it less perfectly thousands of times.
So, let me start by clarifying that how I define "aiki" is probably not correct by the original definition - others here more familiar with the original use of the term, please be kind.
So, to me, "aiki" has two parts to it. One is the part you're talking about here - it's timing and feel. The timing can only be started in cooperative drills (where all skills are started - a partner feeds an input without any real intent, so you can get the motion and the beginning of the timing), but can't really advance reliably without some intent being added, which is easiest to do by the partner actually trying to do whatever the "feed" is (actually tries to shove you back, do a single-leg, punch you in the gut, or whatever). The "feel" part develops best in my experience with a long path of varying "feed" drills that lead to that same point - where there's real intent from the partner. Without that last step, you're learning to feel for something without knowing what leads to it.
There's a second component in my definition of "aiki", and it might be the only part that was originally in the term (though what I've seen from other sources really confuses these two, suggesting both might be part of the original term...dunno). And this part is a specific use of body mechanics. These, you probably won't find randomly developed by an elite grappler, because there are other ways to accomplish what we use aiki mechanics for. I've looked for these mechanics in BJJ videos, for instance, and only see glimpses of them. BJJ (and Judo) use different mechanics in these places. And I don't know a way to develop these without a long path of cooperative drills. They simply take a long time to develop beyond the beginner stage, so they can be used non-cooperatively.
Of course, once they get beyond the beginner stage, they become usable in a non-cooperative environment. Unfortunately, a lot of Aikido eschews any form of non-cooperation. This appears to be a philosophical stance, rather than one based in any practical principal of skill development.
Toward the beginning of a learning curve, you should be making huge leaps. At the beginning of any new activity, everything you learn has a profound effect on your overall performance. If you graph performance in anything, the early stages are where you should see the most dramatic leaps in ability.
In most things, this is true. I don't see this in that second part of aiki development. Most students will work for quite a while before they start to grok what this body mechanic is. I've gotten better at explaining parts of it to students, but I've still never seen a student - mine or anyone else's - start to understand it within their first year. So it's a plodding path until they have a foundation to understand it. Once they reach that first point of acquisition, that's when the curve suddenly steepens. But maybe that's saying the same thing. Maybe all that other work is just what it takes to get them to the starting point on those principles, so that is the actual starting point. I know many instructors won't even approach those principles early in training, and wait until there's a foundation to place it on.
So, I think you missed my point. If it's a 5 year journey to application in any human endeavor, there is something amiss. Or more directly, if it takes you 5 years to realize a "2% improvement from where you were before that)" it's not bias that's the issue. It's an honest assessment of real value added.
No, we definitely agree that marginal gain is not worthwhile. In particular in the early stages where the learning curve is steepest. If you see marginal gain at the beginning, you will at some point see progress stall completely, because something is most definitely up.
I think I wasn't clear. I'm not saying the entirety of the learning is useless to that point. So, for instance with my students, long before they are able to apply the aiki principles (and, thus, the aiki version of a technique), they have the fundamental grappling principles. So they are able to do a seoi nage, and later learn to do it "properly" with aiki principles. Early on, they learn effective grip-fighting, and later learn to do it "properly" with aiki principles. And here, when I say "properly", I mean by aiki standards - the non-aiki version is fully functional (it's usually pretty close to what you'd see in Judo, for instance).
Students often comment that when I do some of the throws and control movements, it looks like I'm using a lot less effort than they are. And they are correct. Part of that, of course, is just better fundamentals (you can see this in how much effort is expended in a BJJ guard pass, comparing a blue belt to a black belt, for instance). Another part of it is that I'm using those aiki body mechanics, which mean less muscular effort in many of the techniques.
But that addition of aiki to them isn't a huge advantage. And it takes a long time to get to that. If I was starting from scratch and wanted to learn to compete in NAGA competitions, I don't need the extra training load of aiki. I'd actually get to "competitive" without it.
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