I find it doubtful. But that is my opinion, and not rooted in any specifics. I'll call it a 'hunch' for the moment. Gerald Celente has an interesting past. Some would say he's had some lucky hits, and a lot of his 'predictions' have been general enough that it's like astrology - almost anything that happens would satisfy his predictions. This one is specific, and I guess he's been making it for awhile. If it doesn't happen, then what does that say? If it does, I guess he's a genius. There are geniuses, but how do you tell them from the con-men?