The planet earth weighs 1.3 E 25pounds. (130,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000)
Or, if you prefer, 4.6
E 18tons. (46000,000,000,000,000,000)
Or, 6 E24 kilograms. ( 6,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000)
Of that mass, less than 1% was oil prior to the age of large scale oil use (call it sometime after Henry Ford), and that mass has been exponentially decreasing with increased consumption-I think the U.S. alone currently conumes about 85 million barrels of oil a day. The Hubbert oil peak is merely common sense,as the earth, and all its bounty-not just oil-is
finite, and no one can say for certain when the peak is or
was, though we can probably be fairly sure that it has already passed, or is just about to: the Association for the Study of Peak Oil puts it at 2007.
The U.S. would require at least an eightfold increase in nuclear power production, from 10% of all energy supplied to about 90%, to replace both the current amount of electricity generated from fossil fuels and gasoline usage. Nuclear engineers estimate that the world can derive 400,000 quads of energy (1000 years at current levels of consumption) from uranium isotope 235, if reprocessing is not employed.
Fast breeder reactors are another possibility. As opposed to current LWR (light water reactors) which burn the rare isotope of uranium U-235, fast breeder reactors produce plutonium from U-238, and then fission that to produce electricity and thermal heat. It has been estimated that there is anywhere from 10,000 to five billion years' worth of U-238 for use in these power plants, and that they can return a high ratio of energy returned on energy invested (EROEI) and avoid some of the problems of current reactors by being automated, passively safe, and reaching economies of scale via mass production. There are a few such research projects working on fast breeders – Lawrence Livermore national Laboratory being one, currently working on the small, sealed, transportable, autonomous reactor (SSTAR).
The long-term radioactive waste storage problems of nuclear power have not been solved, although onsite spent fuel storage in casks has allowed power plants to make room in their spent fuel pools. One possible solution several countries are considering is using underground repositories. The U.S nuclear waste from various locations is planned to be entombed inside Yucca Mountain, Nevada. I donÂ’t think this is a viable solution. In fact, IÂ’m hoping to get funding for a proof-of principle experiment and prototype for
Accelerator Transmutation of Waste here at LANSCE in the next couple of years, a process that would get rid of waste, produce electrical power and hydrogen-of course, it has its own potential dangers.
As for what
you can or should do, well, as someone who has been anticipating this since 1973, I recommend the greasel alternative-I’ve converted two vehicles to run on pure plant oil, if necessary, as well as our generator. I‘d also see to other alternative sources-we have extensive photovoltaics and a windmill, and can be grid-free at any time, though we still get power form the electric company. Lastly, start your gardens and raise chickens and rabbits.Get on the bicycle, if you can, and get horses, if you're able.And conserve, conserve, conserve.
ItÂ’s not about some doom and gloom survivalist scenario, itÂ’s about self-reliance.