Quakes shake loose fears about Yellowstone volcano
By MEAD GRUVER, Associated Press Writer Mead Gruver, Associated Press Writer – Sat Jan 10, 10:44 am ET
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090110/ap_on_sc/yellowstone_volcano_hysteria
CHEYENNE, Wyo. – Run for your lives ... Yellowstone's going to explode!
Hundreds of small earthquakes at Yellowstone National Park in recent weeks have been an unsettling reminder for some people that underneath the park's famous geysers and majestic scenery lurks one of the world's biggest volcanoes.
In the ancient past, the volcano has erupted 1,000 times more powerfully than the 1980 blast at Mount St. Helens, hurling ash as far away as Louisiana. No eruption that big has occurred while humans have walked the earth, however, and geologists say even a minor lava flow is extremely unlikely any time soon.
Some observers are nonetheless warning of imminent catastrophe.
"To those of us who have been following these events, we know that something is brewing, especially considering that Yellowstone is over 40,000 years overdue for a major eruption," warned a posting on the online disaster forum Armageddononline.org.
Another Web site contained a page entitled "Yellowstone Warning" that encouraged "everyone to leave Yellowstone National Park for 100 miles around the volcano caldera because of the danger in poisonous gasses that can escape from the hundreds of recent earthquakes."
<snip> Park geologist Hank Heasler said the odds of a cataclysmic eruption at Yellowstone any time soon are astonishingly remote — about the same as a large meteorite hitting the Earth. The last such eruption occurred 640,000 years ago. The last eruption of any kind at Yellowstone was a much smaller lava flow about 70,000 years ago.
"Statistically, it would be surprising to see an eruption the next hundred years," Lowenstern said.
Much more likely, he said, would be a hydrothermal explosion in which underground water encounters a hot spot and blasts through the surface. Small hydrothermal explosions producing craters a few feet wide occur in Yellowstone perhaps once or twice a year. Large hydrothermal explosions leaving craters the size of a football field occur every 200 years or so, according to a 2007 paper co-authored by Heasler, Lowenstern and others.
One group says yes another says nay... who can tell...?
It'd be an awful disaster either way. The effects from a massive eruption could affect all of the U.S. in terms of food production and health concerns. My step-mother tells me that she smelled the ash from Mt. St. Helens when it blew-up, she caught the odor roughly two days after the eruption... this was way down in Tennessee. There was no fall out but still.
Hopefully the nay-sayers are right that it may be another 100 to 1000 years before another eruption.