This one is going to be a hard one to call. Were he not such an oddball to begin with it'd be easier. The press has judged and hanged him already. This much is for sure. Innocent until proven guilty is supposed to be the law of the land.
The childlike innocence of Michael Jackson factor I have a hard time with. Here's the guy who was savvy enough to buy Northern Songs (most of the Lennon/McCartney output which guarantees him millions a year in royalties alone). The 3 mil payoff ten years ago doesn't help either. The differences between him and OJ - 1) He's certifyably odd and OJ was a sports hero and 2) child molestation and murder are in two very different ball parks.
The Dan-boy prediction is if the kid & family isn't bought off, MJ is going down.
Yours,
Dan Anderson